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Tesla Could Make $1 Trillion Revenue Within Ten Years – Ron Baron

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Ron Baron is chairman and CEO of Baron Capital, a company that holds more than 1.63 million Tesla stocks. Yesterday on CNBC’s Squawk Box, he commented oh why he thinks Tesla stock is currently soaring.

Last week, Tesla reported revenue of $24.6 billion in 2019 with its share price hitting a massive $900 per share. Rebecca Quick, the host of Squawk Box, asked Baron the following: “What have you thought, as you’ve watched the stock go up 80%?”

His reply sheds some light on how he thinks Tesla is going to develop with his answer:

Well, you gotta remember that 2014, when we were buying our stock, we bought [1.6 million] shares at a price of $214. And as you know, since I’ve been on this show several times since, the stock went between $350 and $180 and $250, so it’s all over. And that period of time was when this company wasn’t profitable, was expanding rapidly, was being criticized by short sellers, it was very difficult for them to get started because dealers would try to prevent them from selling cars in individual states.

But now things have all come together. In the period of time since 2014, the stock price didn’t change very much through that summer. So through last summer, our $219 stock was $230, $240, so we made 10%, 20%, 30%. At the same period of time, the company’s business — we focus on business, not stock prices — the company’s business had grown from $2.8 billion of annual revenues to $25 billion of annual revenues. Eight-fold. So the company’s up eight-fold, stock’s up 20%, 10%. Now it’s happening, let’s just catch it.

This year [2020], Tesla is going to do somewhere around $32 billion in revenues, and I guess that they’re gonna do $100 billion in revenues within four years. And I think they have potential for $1 trillion in revenues within 10 years. So basically, you’re looking at the very start of what’s gonna happen with Tesla. This could be one of the largest companies in the whole world.

That’s assuming you do 10 million cars. There’s 90 million cars, or 95 million cars they’ve sold. And yes, that’s without the battery business. We’re thinking $750 billion to $1 trillion of revenues, just on the car business. [CEO] Elon [Musk] says that the battery business is going to be as big as the car business. In addition to that, when I’m thinking 10 million cars a year, the last conversation he had, he said it was 20 million cars is what he thinks he can do.

And so what we’re talking about is a business that right now, demand is overwhelming for the product that they’re selling and they’re constrained as far as making as many cars as they could sell because they don’t have enough batteries.

So now, it’s a nice move, an announcement today that Panasonic is making money in the plant they have in Reno, but they need to have more batteries. So they’re going to have a battery day in a few months. [Tesla will] have all the analysts coming out and they’re going to show how they’re addressing the issue of where are these batteries gonna come from to make all these cars that are possible to make.

You can watch the video below:

There is huge potential behind Tesla’s growth. Like we’ve said time and time before, it’s not just a car company, it’s a tech company that is quickly opening up new ways to produce sustainable energy and transport, and it’s highly possible that it will keep on growing until the Tesla name is in every household. The coming years are going to be tough with more EV competition coming to the market, but Tesla has such a lead and its fingers in so many pies, that this shouldn’t matter.

Written by Alex Harrington

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